Women's Champions League | First Round Semi-Finals

Sep 4, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Meadow Park

Arsenal
6 - 0
Rangers

Foord (16', 59', 69', 90'), Russo (60'), Little (86' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Reaction

Four-goal Foord shines as Arsenal win first Women's UCL qualifier

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal Women 5-0 Brighton Women
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Rangers Women

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Arsenal Women	0	nan
2	Aston Villa	0	nan
3	Brighton Women	0	nan
4	Chelsea Women	0	nan
5	Crystal Palace	0	nan
6	Everton Ladies	0	nan
7	Leicester Women	0	nan
8	Liverpool Women	0	nan
9	Man City Women	0	nan
10	Man Utd Women	0	nan
11	Spurs Ladies	0	nan
12	West Ham	0	nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Rangers Women had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Rangers Women win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Women	Draw	Rangers Women
43.16% ( 0.1)	24.92% ( 0.47)	31.93% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

-1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72% (

-2.3)

46.28% (

2.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.43% (

-2.21)

68.57% (

2.22)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54% (

-0.92)

21.47% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.5% (

-1.44)

54.5% (

1.45)

Rangers Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46% (

-1.47)

27.55% (

1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.94% (

-1.94)

63.06% (

1.95)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Women 43.16%

Rangers Women 31.93%

Draw 24.92%

Arsenal Women	Draw	Rangers Women
1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.16%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.93%