SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
41.2% ( -1.41) | 22.9% ( 0.37) | 35.9% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.53% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.48% ( -1.64) | 35.52% ( 1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.43% ( -1.84) | 57.57% ( 1.84) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( -1.24) | 17.84% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.4% ( -2.19) | 48.6% ( 2.18) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.23) | 20.24% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( -0.37) | 52.57% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.11)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.05% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.9% |
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