Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 95.01%. A draw had a probability of 3.9% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 1.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-4 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.19%) and 0-5 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.86%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (0.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
