Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Women win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading Women would win this match.