Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.