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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Nov 8, 2020 at 2pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium

Brighton Women
0 - 2
Aston Villa


Simpkins (68'), Kerkdijk (82'), Bowman (84'), Connolly (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Asante (59'), Petzelberger (90+2')
Hutton (71')
Coverage of the Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Aston Villa Women.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawAston Villa Women
29.86%22.69%47.45%
Both teams to score 63.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17%36.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99%59.01%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81%24.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48%58.53%
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07%15.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.8%45.2%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 29.86%
    Aston Villa Women 47.45%
    Draw 22.68%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 7.13%
1-0 @ 5.47%
2-0 @ 3.88%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 3.86%
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 9.23%
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 5.65%
2-3 @ 4.01%
0-3 @ 3.98%
1-4 @ 2.59%
2-4 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.83%
1-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 47.45%


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