Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 47.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.