Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester Women win with a probability of 59.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 0-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.