Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.