Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Women win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
