Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Women win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading Women would win this match.