As the tournament co-hosts, New Zealand will have their own support cheering them on, and we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory over Philippines on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines Women win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philippines Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines Women would win this match.
-0.54) 
0.74) 
