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NZ
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
UN

N.Zealand Women
1 - 6
USA Women

Hassett (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lavelle (9'), Horan (45'), Krieger (63' og.), Press (80'), Morgan (87'), Bott (90+3' og.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a New Zealand Women win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result
New Zealand WomenDrawUSA Women
19.49%22.61%57.9%
Both teams to score 52.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.23%46.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.97%69.03%
New Zealand Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96%38.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19%74.81%
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13%15.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.92%45.07%
Score Analysis
    New Zealand Women 19.49%
    USA Women 57.89%
    Draw 22.6%
New Zealand WomenDrawUSA Women
1-0 @ 5.83%
2-1 @ 5.19%
2-0 @ 2.82%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.54%
3-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 19.49%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 11.11%
0-2 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-3 @ 6.28%
1-3 @ 6.07%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-4 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 1.35%
0-5 @ 1.06%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 57.89%

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