Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Antigua and Barbuda and Montserrat.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.