Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Curacao and Saint Vincent & the Grenadines.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 49%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.
