Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 76.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 6.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.72%) and 3-0 (12.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.72%), while for a Grenada win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 18% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for El Salvador in this match.
