Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 89.53%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Guam had a probability of 2.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.52%) and 0-4 (11.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a Guam win it was 1-0 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China would win this match.
