Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 98.69%. A draw had a probability of 1.1% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 0.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 5-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.28%) and 6-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (0.52%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (0.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
