Iran
3 - 1
Hong Kong

Gholizadeh (23'), Amiri (61'), Ansarifard (84')
Torabi (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kwang Cheng (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Iran and Hong Kong.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 90.13%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 2.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.68%) and 2-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.27%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 1-2 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Iran	Draw	Hong Kong
90.13%	6.99%	2.87%

Both teams to score 42.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.36%

21.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.57%

40.43%

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.19%

2.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.15%

12.85%

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.21%

55.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.65%

88.35%

Score Analysis

Iran 90.12%

Hong Kong 2.87%

Draw 6.99%

Iran	Draw	Hong Kong
3-0 @ 11.94% 4-0 @ 10.68% 2-0 @ 10.01% 5-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 6.97% 4-1 @ 6.23% 2-1 @ 5.85% 1-0 @ 5.6% 6-0 @ 4.56% 5-1 @ 4.46% 6-1 @ 2.66% 7-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.82% 7-1 @ 1.36% 5-2 @ 1.3% 8-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.65% Total : 90.12%	1-1 @ 3.27% 2-2 @ 1.71% 0-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.45% Total : 6.99%	1-2 @ 0.95% 0-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1% Total : 2.87%