Lebanon
3 - 2
Sri Lanka

Oumari (11', 44'), Kadouh (17')
El-Helwe (62')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Waseem Razeek (10', 61' pen.)
Rathnayake (20')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Lebanon and Sri Lanka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 84.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Sri Lanka had a probability of 3.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.59%) and 1-0 (13.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.19%), while for a Sri Lanka win it was 0-1 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.

Result
Lebanon	Draw	Sri Lanka
84.44%	11.7%	3.85%

Both teams to score 30.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.51%

42.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.1%

64.9%

Lebanon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.53%

7.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.15%

26.85%

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

32.87%

67.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.11%

93.88%

Score Analysis

Lebanon 84.42%

Sri Lanka 3.85%

Draw 11.71%

Lebanon	Draw	Sri Lanka
2-0 @ 16.87% 3-0 @ 14.59% 1-0 @ 13.01% 4-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 5.82% 5-0 @ 4.91% 4-1 @ 3.77% 6-0 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 4% Total : 84.42%	1-1 @ 5.19% 0-0 @ 5.01% 2-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.16% Total : 11.71%	0-1 @ 2% 1-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.82% Total : 3.85%