Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 47.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Benin had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
