SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 47.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Benin had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Benin |
| 47.55% | 27.12% | 25.34% |
| Both teams to score 46.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.59% | 58.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.99% | 79.01% |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% | 24.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.87% | 59.13% |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.08% | 38.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.36% | 75.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Madagascar | Draw | Benin |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% 2-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-1 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.54% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.34% |
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