Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
