Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Jordan win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
