Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
