Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Panama had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Panama win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
