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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round
Mar 24, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Panamericano, San Cristóbal
PR

Saint Kitts
1 - 0
Puerto Rico

Desron Nelson (42')
Junior Royston Freeman (75'), Kyle Archibald (77'), Hanley (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vega (84')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Puerto Rico.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Puerto Rico had a probability of 14.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Puerto Rico win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawPuerto Rico
67.04%18.42%14.54%
Both teams to score 55.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.39%36.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.23%58.77%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.92%10.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.79%33.22%
Puerto Rico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2%37.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42%74.58%
Score Analysis
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 67.03%
    Puerto Rico 14.54%
    Draw 18.42%
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawPuerto Rico
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.76%
1-0 @ 8.75%
3-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 4.4%
4-1 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-2 @ 2.08%
5-0 @ 2.02%
5-1 @ 1.97%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 67.03%
1-1 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 4.75%
0-0 @ 3.81%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.42%
1-2 @ 4.14%
0-1 @ 3.71%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.54%
1-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.54%

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