Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 78.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.2%) and 1-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.
