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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 15, 2021 at 11.25am UK
 
MN

Tajikistan
4 - 0
Myanmar

Tursunov (34'), Dzhalilov (53'), Samiev (87')
Hanonov (8'), Safarov (39'), (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Win Thein (34'), (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
TajikistanDrawMyanmar
53.26%22.15%24.59%
Both teams to score 60.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.49%38.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19%60.8%
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45%14.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.41%42.59%
Myanmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27%28.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44%64.56%
Score Analysis
    Tajikistan 53.26%
    Myanmar 24.59%
    Draw 22.14%
TajikistanDrawMyanmar
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 7.77%
3-1 @ 6.23%
3-0 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 3.88%
4-1 @ 3%
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 53.26%
1-1 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 4.18%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 24.59%

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