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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
EG

Tunisia
3 - 0
Eq Guinea

Bronn (54'), Skhiri (78'), Khazri (82' pen.)
Bronn (5'), Sassi (69'), Mathlouthi (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Asumu Obama Ondo (4'), Alberto Meseguer Villanueva (32'), Buyla (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
TunisiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
54.86%24.15%20.99%
Both teams to score 49.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82%51.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97%73.03%
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45%18.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2%49.8%
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61%39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.28%75.72%
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 54.84%
    Equatorial Guinea 20.99%
    Draw 24.14%
TunisiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.84%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.81%
1-2 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.99%

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