Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 67.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.