Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.01) 
