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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.86%) and 0-1 (5.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
30.62% ( 1.77) | 21.66% ( 0.26) | 47.72% ( -2.03) |
| Both teams to score 68.15% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.74% ( -0.17) | 31.26% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.31% ( -0.2) | 52.69% ( 0.21) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0.93) | 20.98% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( 1.43) | 53.74% ( -1.43) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( -0.71) | 13.76% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.95% ( -1.42) | 41.05% ( 1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.25)0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.19)3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.11)2-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.72% |
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