SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Macarthur in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Macarthur.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
50.21% ( -0.94) | 24.25% ( 0.39) | 25.54% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( -1.19) | 47.14% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.62% ( -1.12) | 69.38% ( 1.12) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( -0.82) | 18.81% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.76% ( -1.39) | 50.24% ( 1.39) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( -0.18) | 32.6% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% ( -0.21) | 69.14% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.2% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.54% |
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