SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Zhejiang Professional win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
65.75% ( -0.03) | 17.34% ( 0.04) | 16.91% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.43% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.94% ( -0.23) | 26.06% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.71% ( -0.3) | 46.29% ( 0.29) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.45% ( -0.07) | 7.55% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.95% ( -0.17) | 27.05% ( 0.17) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( -0.17) | 28.15% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( -0.21) | 63.83% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.04% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.58% Total : 65.75% | 1-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 17.34% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.83% Total : 16.91% |
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