SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.63%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Instituto |
74.13% ( -1.03) | 17.28% ( 0.67) | 8.59% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 39.55% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( -1.74) | 47.57% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -1.63) | 69.77% ( 1.64) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.74% ( -0.74) | 11.26% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.15% ( -1.64) | 35.85% ( 1.65) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.56% ( -0.29) | 55.44% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.86% ( -0.17) | 88.14% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Instituto |
| 2-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.57)3-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.23% Total : 74.12% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.28% | 0-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.45% Total : 8.59% |
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