SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Colon had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest Colon win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Colon |
40.39% ( -0.99) | 29.65% ( 0.24) | 29.96% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.35% ( -0.53) | 64.65% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.35% ( -0.38) | 83.64% ( 0.38) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0.85) | 31.41% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.21% ( -0.99) | 67.79% ( 0.99) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( 0.29) | 38.53% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% ( 0.28) | 75.28% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.64% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 29.95% |
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