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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
60.86% ( 0.05) | 23.65% ( -0.03) | 15.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.76% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.32% ( 0.07) | 56.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.36% ( 0.05) | 77.63% ( -0.06) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% ( 0.04) | 18.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.5% ( 0.07) | 49.49% ( -0.08) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.15% ( 0.01) | 48.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.16% ( 0) | 83.84% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 15.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.86% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 15.48% |
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