SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Independiente |
48.85% ( 0.37) | 26.16% ( -0.11) | 24.98% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.79% ( 0.22) | 55.21% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.55% ( 0.18) | 76.45% ( -0.18) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( 0.26) | 22.64% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.74% ( 0.38) | 56.27% ( -0.38) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.11) | 37.46% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.76% ( -0.1) | 74.24% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.98% |
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