Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 11, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Lanus
Although Lanus head into this match in better form, we expect Boca Juniors to record a win for the fourth time in their last five league games this weekend.
The hosts have made a disappointing defence of their title so far this season, but they still have time to turn things around, and had looked capable of doing so before Weigandt's red card cost them in their last league match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Lanus |
52.89% ( -0.65) | 27.41% ( 0.16) | 19.7% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 39.49% ( 0.28) |
| 36.3% ( -0) | 63.7% ( 0) |
| 17.03% ( 0) | 82.97% ( 0) |
| 75.5% ( -0.29) | 24.5% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.04% ( -0.42) | 58.96% ( 0.42) |
| 52.3% ( 0.58) | 47.7% ( -0.58) |
