Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Tigre
42.41% ( 0.06)	27.18% ( 0)	30.41% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.04% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.86% (

-0.03)

56.14% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.79% (

-0.02)

77.2% (

0.02)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

0.02)

26.17% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

0.03)

61.25% (

-0.03)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-0.07)

33.58% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.77% (

-0.07)

70.22% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 42.41%

Tigre 30.41%

Draw 27.18%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Tigre
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.41%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 30.41%