SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Gimnasia |
43.94% ( -0.02) | 26.96% ( 0.01) | 29.1% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.19% ( -0.03) | 55.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.07% ( -0.02) | 76.93% ( 0.01) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.03) | 25.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% ( -0.03) | 59.97% ( 0.03) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% ( -0) | 34.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.91% ( -0) | 71.09% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.1% |
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