SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (13.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Boca Juniors |
35.82% ( 0.54) | 31.87% ( 0.04) | 32.32% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 37.41% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.45% ( -0.14) | 70.55% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.42% ( -0.09) | 87.58% ( 0.09) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% ( 0.3) | 37.55% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.66% ( 0.29) | 74.34% ( -0.29) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% ( -0.51) | 40.09% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.26% ( -0.47) | 76.74% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.74% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 35.81% | 0-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.85% | 0-1 @ 13.76% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.15)1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.4% Total : 32.31% |
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