Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 34.92%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (13.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Independiente
34.36% ( 0.02)	30.72%	34.92% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 40.29% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.72% (

-0)

67.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.55% (

85.45% (

-0)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.28% (

0.02)

36.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.49% (

0.01)

73.51% (

-0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.67% (

-0.01)

36.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.88% (

-0.02)

73.11% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 34.36%

Independiente 34.91%

Draw 30.72%

Gimnasia	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.88% Total : 34.36%	1-1 @ 13.53% 0-0 @ 13.34% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.72%	0-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 34.91%