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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
2 - 0
Arsenal

Sordo (33', 89')
Sforza (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pons (8')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigre 2-2 Newell's OB
Monday, May 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-1 Gimnasia
Monday, May 8 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawArsenal Sarandi
51.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 27.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 20.33% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 39.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.6% (0.007000000000005 0.01)64.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)83.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (0.0019999999999953 0)25.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)60.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.59% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)47.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.21% (0.004999999999999 0)82.79% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 51.83%
    Arsenal Sarandi 20.33%
    Draw 27.83%
Newell's Old BoysDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 16.48%
2-0 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.45%
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 51.83%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 11.99%
2-2 @ 3.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 4.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 20.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tigre 2-2 Newell's OB
Monday, May 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Santos
Wednesday, May 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 3-0 Blooming
Tuesday, April 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-1 Gimnasia
Monday, May 8 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 2-1 Arsenal
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Union
Saturday, April 22 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Arsenal
Monday, April 17 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-3 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, April 13 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 3-0 Arsenal
Friday, April 7 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division


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