SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Union had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Union |
52.21% ( -0.12) | 28.9% ( 0.03) | 18.89% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 35.34% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.52% ( -0.01) | 68.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.75% ( -0.01) | 86.25% ( 0.01) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.06) | 27.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( -0.08) | 62.41% ( 0.08) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.43% ( 0.1) | 51.57% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.28% ( 0.07) | 85.72% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 18.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 52.2% | 0-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 18.89% |
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