SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Independiente |
43.96% ( 0.81) | 27.21% ( -0.47) | 28.83% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% ( 1.55) | 56.85% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.22% ( 1.23) | 77.77% ( -1.23) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( 1.13) | 25.69% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( 1.52) | 60.6% ( -1.52) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( 0.56) | 35.15% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.1% ( 0.58) | 71.9% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.1% Total : 28.83% |
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