SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
47.82% ( 1.33) | 27.38% ( -0.03) | 24.8% ( -1.31) |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.35% ( -0.71) | 59.64% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.03% ( -0.55) | 79.97% ( 0.54) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( 0.33) | 25.04% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% ( 0.45) | 59.72% ( -0.45) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.9% ( -1.57) | 40.09% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.26% ( -1.46) | 76.74% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.43)2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.2% Total : 47.82% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.8% |
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