SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Banfield |
55.46% ( 0.21) | 26.04% ( -0.13) | 18.5% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 41.04% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.29% ( 0.31) | 60.7% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.23% ( 0.23) | 80.77% ( -0.23) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( 0.22) | 22.08% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( 0.33) | 55.43% ( -0.33) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.67% ( 0.08) | 47.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.26% ( 0.06) | 82.73% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.78% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 55.45% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.5% |
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