SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 12.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.02%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Aldosivi |
66.61% ( -0.03) | 21.17% ( -0) | 12.23% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.65% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% ( 0.07) | 53.6% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% ( 0.06) | 75.1% ( -0.06) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( 0.02) | 15.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.96% ( 0.03) | 44.04% ( -0.02) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48% ( 0.1) | 52% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.99% ( 0.06) | 86.01% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Aldosivi |
| 1-0 @ 14.94% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 14.02% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.21% 1-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 12.23% |
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