SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BW Linz | Draw | Sturm Graz |
28.87% ( 0.07) | 25.74% ( -0.08) | 45.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.84% ( 0.35) | 51.16% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( 0.31) | 73.01% ( -0.3) |
| BW Linz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.88% ( 0.23) | 32.12% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.4% ( 0.26) | 68.6% ( -0.26) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( 0.15) | 22.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% ( 0.23) | 56.06% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| BW Linz | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.87% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.39% |
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